empty
28.03.2025 07:52 PM
EUR/USD: Trading Plan for the U.S. Session on March 28th (Review of Morning Trades)

In my morning forecast, I highlighted the level of 1.0801 and planned to base my market entries on it. Let's look at the 5-minute chart to see what happened. A rise and false breakout around 1.0801 provided an opportunity to enter short positions, which resulted in the pair dropping over 35 points to the target level of 1.0764. The technical picture was not revised for the second half of the day.

This image is no longer relevant

To open long positions on EUR/USD:

Data from Germany and the labor market disappointed traders, reducing the appeal of the euro and pushing it lower against the U.S. dollar in the first half of the day. However, things could change in the second half as key U.S. inflation indicators are released. These include the core personal consumption expenditures (PCE) index, changes in consumer spending, and changes in personal income. Inflation expectations from the University of Michigan and speeches from FOMC members will wrap up the week. If the euro declines, only a false breakout around the support level of 1.0764 would serve as a signal to buy EUR/USD, aiming for a bullish reversal with a potential return to 1.0798, the resistance formed earlier today. A breakout and retest of this range from above would confirm a correct entry point for further growth toward 1.0830. The ultimate target will be 1.0863, where I plan to take profit. If EUR/USD drops and there is no buying activity around 1.0764—which is more likely—the pair could extend its correction. In that case, sellers may push it to 1.0736. Only after a false breakout there will I consider buying euros. I plan to open long positions from a rebound at 1.0691, targeting an intraday correction of 30–35 points.

To open short positions on EUR/USD:

Sellers made their presence known around key resistance, which could lead to a larger sell-off by the end of the week and a return to weekly lows. This would require strong U.S. statistics. In case of a negative market reaction, only a false breakout around 1.0798 would provide an entry point for short positions targeting a drop to support at 1.0764. A breakout and consolidation below this range would offer another suitable sell signal, aiming for 1.0736. The final target will be 1.0691, where I will take profit. If EUR/USD rises in the second half of the day and bears fail to act around 1.0798, buyers could push the pair higher. In that case, I will delay short entries until a test of the next resistance at 1.0830, where I will sell only after a failed breakout. If no downward movement occurs there either, I will look for short entries on a rebound from 1.0863, aiming for a 30–35 point correction.

This image is no longer relevant

COT Report (Commitment of Traders) for March 18:

The report showed an increase in long positions and a sharp decline in short ones. More traders are willing to buy euros, while sellers continue to exit the market. The European Central Bank's cautious stance on rate cuts and weak U.S. fundamentals forcing the Federal Reserve to pivot to a more dovish monetary policy are driving the shift in market sentiment. The COT report indicates that non-commercial long positions rose by 305 to 188,952, while short positions dropped by 46,030 to 129,527. As a result, the net long position widened by 24,714.

This image is no longer relevant

Indicator signals:

Moving Averages: Trading is taking place near the 30- and 50-day moving averages, indicating a sideways market.

Note: The author uses H1 hourly chart settings, which differ from the classical daily moving averages on the D1 chart.

Bollinger Bands: In the event of a decline, the lower band around 1.0765 will serve as support.

Indicator Descriptions:

• Moving average: identifies the current trend by smoothing out volatility and noise (Period – 50; marked in yellow on the chart).

• Moving average: identifies the current trend by smoothing out volatility and noise (Period – 30; marked in green).

• MACD (Moving Average Convergence/Divergence): Fast EMA – 12, Slow EMA – 26, SMA – 9.

• Bollinger Bands: Period – 20.

• Non-commercial traders: speculators such as individual traders, hedge funds, and large institutions using the futures market for speculative purposes under specific criteria.

• Long non-commercial positions: total long open positions held by non-commercial traders.

• Short non-commercial positions: total short open positions held by non-commercial traders.

• Total non-commercial net position: the difference between short and long positions held by non-commercial traders.

EURUSD
Euro vs US Dollar
Ringkasan
Beli
Segera
1 hari
Analitic
Maxim Magdalinin
Mulakan perdagangan
Jana pendapatan melalui perubahan kadar mata wang kripto dengan InstaForex.
Muat turun MetaTrader 4 dan buka dagangan pertama anda.
  • Grand Choice
    Contest by
    InstaForex
    InstaForex always strives to help you
    fulfill your biggest dreams.
    SERTAI PERADUAN

Artikel yang dicadangkan

GBP/USD: Rancangan Dagangan untuk Sesi A.S. pada 16 April (Tinjauan Perdagangan Pagi)

Dalam ramalan pagi saya, saya telah menekankan tahap 1.3247 sebagai titik rujukan untuk keputusan kemasukan pasaran. Mari kita lihat carta 5 minit dan analisis apa yang berlaku. Pasangan itu memang

Miroslaw Bawulski 18:31 2025-04-16 UTC+2

EUR/USD: Rancangan Dagangan untuk Sesi Urusniaga Amerika Syarikat pada 16 April (Semakan Dagangan Pagi

Dalam ramalan pagi, saya menonjolkan paras 1.1341 sebagai titik utama untuk keputusan kemasukan pasaran. Mari kita lihat carta 5 minit dan menganalisis apa yang berlaku di sana. Penurunan diikuti dengan

Miroslaw Bawulski 18:28 2025-04-16 UTC+2

Bagaimana untuk Berdagang Pasangan GBP/USD pada 16 April? Tip RIngkas dan Analisis Dagangan untuk Pedagang Baharu

Sepanjang hari Selasa, pasangan GBP/USD terus bergerak ke atas. Seperti yang kita lihat, mata wang British tidak memerlukan alasan khusus untuk terus meningkat. Kami telah berkata beberapa kali bahawa terdapat

Paolo Greco 07:03 2025-04-16 UTC+2

Bagaimana untuk Berdagang Pasangan EUR/USD pada 16 April? Petua Ringkas dan Analisis Dagangan kepada Pedagang Baharu

Analisis Dagangan Hari Selasa Carta 1 Jam pasangan EUR/USD Pada hari Selasa, pasangan mata wang EUR/USD mengalami sedikit pembetulan, yang boleh dianggap sebagai pembetulan teknikal semata-mata. Semalam — dan secara

Paolo Greco 07:03 2025-04-16 UTC+2

Cadangan Dagangan dan Analisis untuk EUR/USD pada 16 April: Dolar Mengambil Kesempatan daripada Penangguhan Tarif

Analisis EUR/USD carta 5-Minit Pasangan mata wang EUR/USD mula menunjukkan penurunan yang telah lama dinantikan pada hari Selasa, walaupun kejatuhan tersebut tidak terlalu ketara mahupun berpanjangan. Perlu ditegaskan bahawa tiada

Paolo Greco 03:35 2025-04-16 UTC+2

Cadangan dan Analisis Dagangan untuk GBP/USD pada 16 April: Pound Bukanlah Euro — Ia Tidak Menunjukkan Kelemahan

Pada hari Selasa, pasangan mata wang GBP/USD meneruskan pergerakan menaik untuk sebahagian besar hari. Tiada alasan penting atau asas yang kukuh untuk ini, namun seluruh pasaran mata wang bergerak secara

Paolo Greco 03:35 2025-04-16 UTC+2

GBP/USD: Rancangan Dagangan untuk Sesi A.S. pada 15 April (Analisis Dagangan Pagi)

Dalam ramalan pagi saya, saya memfokuskan pada tahap 1.3204 dan merancang untuk membuat keputusan perdagangan daripadanya. Mari kita lihat carta 5 minit dan lihat apa yang berlaku. Penembusan pada tahap1.3204

Miroslaw Bawulski 18:44 2025-04-15 UTC+2

EUR/USD: Rancangan Dagangan untuk Sesi Urusniaga Amerika Syarikat pada 15 April (Analisis Dagangan Pagi)

Dalam ramalan pagi ini, saya telah menonjolkan tahap 1.1377 dan bercadang untuk membuat keputusan dagangan dari situ. Mari kita lihat carta 5 minit dan pecahkan apa yang telah berlaku. Kenaikan

Miroslaw Bawulski 18:40 2025-04-15 UTC+2

Bagaimana untuk Berdagang Pasangan GBP/USD pada 15 April? Tip Ringkas dan Analisis Dagangan untuk Pedagang Baharu

Pada hari Isnin, pasangan GBP/USD meneruskan pergerakan menaiknya tanpa sebarang masalah. Tidak ada alasan makroekonomi untuk ini, malah euro menunjukkan pergerakan yang lebih perlahan menjelang akhir hari tersebut. Walau bagaimanapun

Paolo Greco 06:29 2025-04-15 UTC+2

Bagaimana untuk Berdagang Pasangan EUR/USD pada 15 April? Petua Ringkas dan Analisis Dagangan kepada Pedagang Baharu

Analisis Dagangan Hari Isnin Carta 1 Jam pasangan EUR/USD Pada hari Isnin, pasangan mata wang EUR/USD didagangkan lebih kepada pergerakan mendatar berbanding kenaikan, walaupun nilainya masih mencatat peningkatan menjelang penghujung

Paolo Greco 06:29 2025-04-15 UTC+2
Tidak boleh bertanya sekarang?
Tanya soalan anda di Ruangan bersembang.
Panggilan semula Widget
 

Dear visitor,

Your IP address shows that you are currently located in the USA. If you are a resident of the United States, you are prohibited from using the services of InstaFintech Group including online trading, online transfers, deposit/withdrawal of funds, etc.

If you think you are seeing this message by mistake and your location is not the US, kindly proceed to the website. Otherwise, you must leave the website in order to comply with government restrictions.

Why does your IP address show your location as the USA?

  • - you are using a VPN provided by a hosting company based in the United States;
  • - your IP does not have proper WHOIS records;
  • - an error occurred in the WHOIS geolocation database.

Please confirm whether you are a US resident or not by clicking the relevant button below. If you choose the wrong option, being a US resident, you will not be able to open an account with InstaForex anyway.

We are sorry for any inconvenience caused by this message.