empty
 
 
31.01.2025 05:01 AM
Forecast for EUR/USD on January 31, 2025

At yesterday's meeting, the European Central Bank lowered its key interest rates by the expected 0.25%. In its accompanying statement, the central bank emphasized its commitment to a restrictive policy, which has led the markets to strengthen expectations for another rate cut in March and to anticipate a total of three cuts by the end of the year.

This image is no longer relevant

However, the euro did not decline significantly, dropping only 30 pips, primarily due to weak GDP data. In the fourth quarter, GDP showed zero growth compared to an expected increase of 0.1%, while the annual GDP remained at 0.9%, falling short of the anticipated 1.0% growth.

It is important to note that GDP has a unique characteristic compared to other indices—it often accumulates alongside subsequent weak data and can have a delayed effect that extends over a week. Next week, key inflation data, PMI reports, and a broad range of U.S. economic indicators, including unemployment figures, will be released for the Eurozone. However, the euro approaches these events from a notably weak position. A consolidation below the 1.0350 support level could open the door for a decline toward the 1.0135 target.

This image is no longer relevant

On the four-hour chart, the euro consolidated below the balance and MACD indicator lines after making a false breakout above them and reversing from the 1.0458 resistance level. The Marlin oscillator has turned downward from the zero line. Currently, the price is consolidating above the 1.0350 level while aiming for a breakout.

Laurie Bailey,
Analytical expert of InstaForex
© 2007-2025
Earn on cryptocurrency rate changes with InstaForex
Download MetaTrader 4 and open your first trade
  • Grand Choice
    Contest by
    InstaForex
    InstaForex always strives to help you
    fulfill your biggest dreams.
    JOIN CONTEST
  • Chancy Deposit
    Deposit your account with $3,000 and get $10000 more!
    In January we raffle $10000 within the Chancy Deposit campaign!
    Get a chance to win by depositing $3,000 to a trading account. Having fulfilled this condition, you become a campaign participant.
    JOIN CONTEST
  • Trade Wise, Win Device
    Top up your account with at least $500, sign up for the contest, and get a chance to win mobile devices.
    JOIN CONTEST
  • 100% Bonus
    Your unique opportunity to get a 100% bonus on your deposit
    GET BONUS
  • 55% Bonus
    Apply for a 55% bonus on your every deposit
    GET BONUS
  • 30% Bonus
    Receive a 30% bonus every time you top up your account
    GET BONUS

Recommended Stories

Can't speak right now?
Ask your question in the chat.
Widget callback