empty
28.01.2025 01:41 PM
USD/JPY: Analysis and Forecast

This image is no longer relevant

The Japanese yen remains under pressure against the US dollar, with the USD/JPY pair targeting the 156.00 level today.

The yen continues to face downward pressure against the dollar as US President Donald Trump reaffirms his intention to raise tariffs, which could spark new inflationary pressures in the US. This, in turn, supports a modest recovery in US Treasury yields, reducing the appeal of the low-yielding yen and increasing demand for the dollar.

The US Dollar Index (DXY), which tracks the dollar's performance against a basket of currencies, is showing a solid rebound from its monthly low—the lowest level since December 18—recorded on Monday. This provides an additional boost to the USD/JPY pair.

This image is no longer relevant

However, diverging expectations regarding the monetary policies of the Bank of Japan (BoJ) and the Federal Reserve (Fed) may limit yen losses and cap the dollar's gains. Market participants should also keep an eye on today's release of US macroeconomic data, which could provide additional momentum for the pair ahead of the two-day FOMC meeting starting today.

Yesterday's sustained break below the multi-month upward trend channel support was seen as a key trigger for bears. However, oscillators on the daily chart remain mixed, suggesting caution for both buyers and sellers when opening new directional positions.

On the other hand, the psychological level of 155.00 acts as immediate support, ahead of the horizontal zone at 154.45, which coincides with today's opening level, and the round figure of 154.00. A sustained break below these levels would confirm a short-term bearish outlook, potentially dragging the USD/JPY pair toward intermediate support at 153.30 and then to the next key level of 153.00.

Key resistance levels to watch include 156.00 and further upside targets, which depend on broader risk sentiment and the outcome of upcoming US economic reports and Federal Reserve communications.

This image is no longer relevant

Irina Yanina,
Analytical expert of InstaForex
© 2007-2025
Select timeframe
5
min
15
min
30
min
1
hour
4
hours
1
day
1
week
Earn on cryptocurrency rate changes with InstaForex
Download MetaTrader 4 and open your first trade
  • Grand Choice
    Contest by
    InstaForex
    InstaForex always strives to help you
    fulfill your biggest dreams.
    JOIN CONTEST

Recommended Stories

Wall Street keeps White House in line

The market is showing heightened sensitivity to any good news, but its best days are behind it. The value of US equities as a percentage of the MSCI All Country

Marek Petkovich 11:42 2025-04-24 UTC+2

USD/JPY. Analysis and Forecast

The Japanese yen maintains a bullish tone despite certain headwinds and remains in focus as renewed global risk aversion fuels demand for safe-haven assets. Diminishing hopes for a swift resolution

Irina Yanina 11:35 2025-04-24 UTC+2

XAU/USD. Analysis and Forecast

Gold is showing positive momentum as it attempts to hold above the $3300 level, indicating growing investor interest in this traditional safe-haven asset. The uncertainty surrounding U.S.-China trade relations—highlighted

Irina Yanina 11:33 2025-04-24 UTC+2

Trump Is Playing a Game Where Everyone Loses

According to a senior official at the European Central Bank, President Donald Trump has drawn the entire world into a game where everyone ends up losing — referring

Jakub Novak 11:21 2025-04-24 UTC+2

Trump Desperately Needs a Deal with China

The U.S. dollar surged sharply against most major currencies after President Donald Trump stated that he plans to be very "courteous" with China in any trade talks and that tariffs

Jakub Novak 11:16 2025-04-24 UTC+2

The Fed Needs More Time to Assess the Situation

While Donald Trump is attempting to reach an understanding with China, Federal Reserve Governor Adriana Kugler stated that the current tariff policy is likely to exert upward pressure on prices

Jakub Novak 10:05 2025-04-24 UTC+2

Powell Can Sleep Soundly

Markets responded with gains, and the US dollar strengthened against the euro and other risk assets after US President Donald Trump said he had no intention of firing Federal Reserve

Jakub Novak 09:59 2025-04-24 UTC+2

The Markets Have Likely Already Passed the Bottom of Their Decline (there is a chance of continued decline in EUR/USD and GBP/USD)

While markets remain focused on trade wars, particularly between the U.S. and China, incoming economic data indicate persistent structural problems in the advanced economies of Europe and the United States

Pati Gani 09:38 2025-04-24 UTC+2

What to Pay Attention to on April 24? A Breakdown of Fundamental Events for Beginners

Few macroeconomic events are scheduled for Thursday, but yesterday's developments showed that the market continues to ignore the majority of data releases. Only a handful of reports are lucky enough

Paolo Greco 06:05 2025-04-24 UTC+2

GBP/USD Overview – April 24: Didn't work out? So be it...

On Wednesday, the GBP/USD currency pair managed to avoid a substantial decline, although the day before, it seemed that a downtrend was finally beginning. However, the market quickly bounced back

Paolo Greco 03:16 2025-04-24 UTC+2
Can't speak right now?
Ask your question in the chat.
Widget callback
 

Dear visitor,

Your IP address shows that you are currently located in the USA. If you are a resident of the United States, you are prohibited from using the services of InstaFintech Group including online trading, online transfers, deposit/withdrawal of funds, etc.

If you think you are seeing this message by mistake and your location is not the US, kindly proceed to the website. Otherwise, you must leave the website in order to comply with government restrictions.

Why does your IP address show your location as the USA?

  • - you are using a VPN provided by a hosting company based in the United States;
  • - your IP does not have proper WHOIS records;
  • - an error occurred in the WHOIS geolocation database.

Please confirm whether you are a US resident or not by clicking the relevant button below. If you choose the wrong option, being a US resident, you will not be able to open an account with InstaForex anyway.

We are sorry for any inconvenience caused by this message.